Pair #5244

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-PMAL

Valero Texas Open: Will Peter Malnati finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Peter Malnati
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 9553

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Peter Malnati finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-PMAL

Valero Texas Open: Will Peter Malnati finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Peter Malnati
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 6201

YES ask: 0.1100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Peter Malnati finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:26:04Z

Reasoning: If Malnati finishes top 10, he necessarily finishes top 20. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue