Pair #5241

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-PKIZ

Valero Texas Open: Will Patton Kizzire finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Patton Kizzire
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 539

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Patton Kizzire finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-PKIZ

Valero Texas Open: Will Patton Kizzire finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Patton Kizzire
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 272

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Patton Kizzire finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:26:04Z

Reasoning: If Kizzire finishes top 10, he necessarily finishes top 20. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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