Pair #5231

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-BBUR

Valero Texas Open: Will Bronson Burgoon finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Bronson Burgoon
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2133

YES ask: 0.1100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Bronson Burgoon finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-BBUR

Valero Texas Open: Will Bronson Burgoon finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Bronson Burgoon
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 8130

YES ask: 0.1500
NO ask: 0.8700
Last: 0.1300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Bronson Burgoon finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:25:48Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 necessarily means finishing top 20. The reverse does not hold (could finish 11th-20th).

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue