Pair #5221

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-VATO26-SYEL

Valero Texas Open: Will Sudarshan Yellamaraju finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Sudarshan Yellamaraju
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 9710

YES ask: 0.0900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Sudarshan Yellamaraju finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-SYEL

Valero Texas Open: Will Sudarshan Yellamaraju finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Sudarshan Yellamaraju
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 122479

YES ask: 0.2900
NO ask: 0.7400
Last: 0.2600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Sudarshan Yellamaraju finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:25:32Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 5 necessarily means finishing top 20. The reverse is not true — top 20 does not imply top 5.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.2900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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