Pair #5218

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-SYEL

Valero Texas Open: Will Sudarshan Yellamaraju finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Sudarshan Yellamaraju
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 38396

YES ask: 0.1300
NO ask: 0.9100
Last: 0.0700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Sudarshan Yellamaraju finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-SYEL

Valero Texas Open: Will Sudarshan Yellamaraju finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Sudarshan Yellamaraju
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 122479

YES ask: 0.2900
NO ask: 0.7400
Last: 0.2600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Sudarshan Yellamaraju finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:25:32Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 necessarily means finishing top 20. The reverse is not true — top 20 does not imply top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.2000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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