Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGATOUR-VATO26-SYEL
Will Sudarshan Yellamaraju win the Valero Texas Open?
Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Sudarshan Yellamaraju
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 932549
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Sudarshan Yellamaraju wins the Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGATOP20-VATO26-SYEL
Valero Texas Open: Will Sudarshan Yellamaraju finish top 20?
Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Sudarshan Yellamaraju
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 122479
YES ask: 0.2900
NO ask: 0.7400
Last: 0.2600
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Sudarshan Yellamaraju finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:25:32Z
Reasoning: Winning the tournament means finishing 1st, which is necessarily inside the top 20.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.2900
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A