Pair #52

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXFOMEN-26-ZVE

Will Alexander Zverev win the French Open?

Series: KXFOMEN
Entity: Alexander Zverev
Expiration: 2026-06-10T17:00:00Z
Volume: 4151985

YES ask: 0.7900
NO ask: 0.2200
Last: 0.7900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Alexander Zverev wins the 2026 Men's French Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXATPGRANDSLAM-26-AZEV

Will Alexander Zverev win a Tennis Grand Slam in 2026?

Series: KXATPGRANDSLAM
Entity: Alexander Zverev
Expiration: 2026-12-31T15:00:00Z
Volume: 35881

YES ask: 0.8000
NO ask: 0.2100
Last: 0.8000

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Alexander Zverev wins a tennis major (the Australian Open, the U.S. Open, the French Open, or Wimbledon) before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-16T22:51:29Z

Reasoning: Winning the French Open is winning a Grand Slam, so B implies A. A does not imply B since Zverev could win a different Grand Slam.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-03-16T23:07:13Z

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