Pair #5197

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-JVEG

Valero Texas Open: Will Jhonattan Vegas make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Jhonattan Vegas
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 3219

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jhonattan Vegas has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-VATO26-JVEG

Will Jhonattan Vegas lead at the end of Round 1 in the Valero Texas Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Jhonattan Vegas
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 100982

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jhonattan Vegas is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:24:57Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut (a player could collapse in Round 2), and making the cut does not require leading after Round 1. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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