Pair #5195

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-JVEG

Valero Texas Open: Will Jhonattan Vegas finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Jhonattan Vegas
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1962

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Jhonattan Vegas finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-JVEG

Valero Texas Open: Will Jhonattan Vegas make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Jhonattan Vegas
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 3219

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Jhonattan Vegas has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:24:57Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 requires completing all rounds, which means making the cut. The reverse does not hold — making the cut does not guarantee a top 10 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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