Pair #5192

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-JVEG

Valero Texas Open: Will Jhonattan Vegas finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Jhonattan Vegas
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1660

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Jhonattan Vegas finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-JVEG

Valero Texas Open: Will Jhonattan Vegas make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Jhonattan Vegas
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 3219

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Jhonattan Vegas has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:24:57Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 20 requires completing all rounds, which means making the cut. The reverse does not hold — making the cut does not guarantee a top 20 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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