Pair #5170

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-KSTR

Valero Texas Open: Will Kevin Streelman finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Kevin Streelman
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 9805

YES ask: 0.1000
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Kevin Streelman finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-KSTR

Valero Texas Open: Will Kevin Streelman finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Kevin Streelman
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 5235

YES ask: 0.1400
NO ask: 0.9700
Last: 0.1100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Kevin Streelman finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:24:22Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 necessarily means finishing top 20. The reverse does not hold — top 20 could be positions 11-20.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1400
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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