Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGATOUR-VATO26-KSTR
Will Kevin Streelman win the Valero Texas Open?
Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Kevin Streelman
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 27866
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Kevin Streelman wins the Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGATOP20-VATO26-KSTR
Valero Texas Open: Will Kevin Streelman finish top 20?
Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Kevin Streelman
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 5235
YES ask: 0.1400
NO ask: 0.9700
Last: 0.1100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Kevin Streelman finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:24:22Z
Reasoning: Winning the tournament means finishing 1st, which is within the top 20. The reverse does not hold.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.1400
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A