Pair #515

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-VAC26-CRAM

Valspar Championship: Will Chad Ramey finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Chad Ramey
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 4240

YES ask: 0.1200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Chad Ramey finishes top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VAC26-CRAM

Valspar Championship: Will Chad Ramey make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Chad Ramey
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1024

YES ask: 0.6700
NO ask: 0.4100
Last: 0.6700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Chad Ramey makes the cut in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:01:57Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 20 necessarily means the player made the cut. Making the cut does not imply finishing top 20.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.6700
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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