Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGATOUR-VATO26-APUT
Will Andrew Putnam win the Valero Texas Open?
Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Andrew Putnam
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 985585
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Andrew Putnam wins the Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGATOP5-VATO26-APUT
Valero Texas Open: Will Andrew Putnam finish top 5?
Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Andrew Putnam
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 5288
YES ask: 0.2400
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.2500
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Andrew Putnam finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:23:27Z
Reasoning: Winning the tournament means finishing 1st, which is within the top 5. The reverse does not hold.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.2400
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A