Pair #5133

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-VATO26-APUT

Will Andrew Putnam win the Valero Texas Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Andrew Putnam
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 985585

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Andrew Putnam wins the Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP5-VATO26-APUT

Valero Texas Open: Will Andrew Putnam finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Andrew Putnam
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 5288

YES ask: 0.2400
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.2500

View on Kalshi

Rules If Andrew Putnam finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:23:27Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament means finishing 1st, which is within the top 5. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.2400
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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