Pair #5128

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-JPOS

Valero Texas Open: Will J.T. Poston finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: J.T. Poston
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 778

YES ask: 0.1000
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1000

View on Kalshi

Rules

If J.T. Poston finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-JPOS

Valero Texas Open: Will J.T. Poston finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: J.T. Poston
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 9902

YES ask: 0.1700
NO ask: 0.8900
Last: 0.2000

View on Kalshi

Rules

If J.T. Poston finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:23:10Z

Reasoning: If Poston finishes top 10, he necessarily finishes top 20. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1700
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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