Pair #51

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXFOMEN-26-RUU

Will Casper Ruud win the French Open?

Series: KXFOMEN
Entity: Casper Ruud
Expiration: 2026-06-10T17:00:00Z
Volume: 1650845

YES ask: 0.1400
NO ask: 0.8700
Last: 0.1400

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Rules

If Casper Ruud wins the 2026 Men's French Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXATPGRANDSLAM-26-CRUU

Will Casper Ruud win a Tennis Grand Slam in 2026?

Series: KXATPGRANDSLAM
Entity: Casper Ruud
Expiration: 2026-12-31T15:00:00Z
Volume: 2050

YES ask: 0.1200
NO ask: 0.9700
Last: 0.1900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Casper Ruud wins a tennis major (the Australian Open, the U.S. Open, the French Open, or Wimbledon) before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-16T22:51:29Z

Reasoning: Winning the French Open means winning a Grand Slam, so B implies A. However, A does not imply B because Ruud could win a different Grand Slam.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.9900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-03-16T23:07:00Z

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