Pair #5088

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-KMIT

Valero Texas Open: Will Keith Mitchell finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Keith Mitchell
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3603

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.3300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Keith Mitchell finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-KMIT

Valero Texas Open: Will Keith Mitchell finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Keith Mitchell
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 12891

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Keith Mitchell finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:22:18Z

Reasoning: If Mitchell finishes top 10, he necessarily finishes top 20. The reverse is not true.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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