Pair #5083

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-VATO26-MMEI

Valero Texas Open: Will Mac Meissner finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Mac Meissner
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1344

YES ask: 0.0800
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Mac Meissner finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-MMEI

Valero Texas Open: Will Mac Meissner finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Mac Meissner
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 359

YES ask: 0.1200
NO ask: 0.9800
Last: 0.1300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Mac Meissner finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:22:18Z

Reasoning: If Meissner finishes top 5, he necessarily finishes top 10. The reverse is not true.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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