Pair #5082

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-VATO26-MMEI

Valero Texas Open: Will Mac Meissner finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Mac Meissner
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1344

YES ask: 0.0800
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Mac Meissner finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-MMEI

Valero Texas Open: Will Mac Meissner finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Mac Meissner
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1418

YES ask: 0.2300
NO ask: 0.7900
Last: 0.3000

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Mac Meissner finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:22:18Z

Reasoning: If Meissner finishes top 5, he necessarily finishes top 20. The reverse is not true.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.2300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue