Pair #5064

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-DMCC

Valero Texas Open: Will Denny McCarthy finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Denny McCarthy
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 28739

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.3000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Denny McCarthy finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-DMCC

Valero Texas Open: Will Denny McCarthy make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Denny McCarthy
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 3508

YES ask: 0.9900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Denny McCarthy has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:21:43Z

Reasoning: Finishing in the top 20 requires having made the cut to play the weekend rounds.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.9900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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