Pair #5050

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-MKUC

Valero Texas Open: Will Matt Kuchar finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Matt Kuchar
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1002

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Matt Kuchar finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-MKUC

Valero Texas Open: Will Matt Kuchar finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Matt Kuchar
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3069

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0400

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Matt Kuchar finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:21:27Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 necessarily means finishing top 20 as well. The reverse does not hold — finishing top 20 does not guarantee top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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