Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-SKIM
Valero Texas Open: Will Seonghyeon Kim make the cut?
Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Seonghyeon Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 224
YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.5200
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Seonghyeon Kim has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGAR1LEAD-VATO26-SKIM
Will Seonghyeon Kim lead at the end of Round 1 in the Valero Texas Open?
Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Seonghyeon Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 68304
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Seonghyeon Kim is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:21:10Z
Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut (a player could collapse in Round 2), and making the cut does not require leading after Round 1.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$0.0200
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A