Pair #5037

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-SKIM

Valero Texas Open: Will Seonghyeon Kim make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Seonghyeon Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 224

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.5200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Seonghyeon Kim has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-VATO26-SKIM

Will Seonghyeon Kim lead at the end of Round 1 in the Valero Texas Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Seonghyeon Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 68304

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Seonghyeon Kim is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:21:10Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut (a player could collapse in Round 2), and making the cut does not require leading after Round 1.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.0200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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