Pair #5032

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-SKIM

Valero Texas Open: Will Seonghyeon Kim finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Seonghyeon Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1874

YES ask: 0.2000
NO ask: 0.9000
Last: 0.2300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Seonghyeon Kim finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-SKIM

Valero Texas Open: Will Seonghyeon Kim make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Seonghyeon Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 224

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.5200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Seonghyeon Kim has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:20:51Z

Reasoning: A top 20 finish requires having made the cut — you cannot finish in the top 20 without surviving the cut. The reverse is not true — making the cut does not guarantee a top 20 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.9000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue