Pair #5030

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-SKIM

Valero Texas Open: Will Seonghyeon Kim finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Seonghyeon Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 848

YES ask: 0.0800
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Seonghyeon Kim finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-SKIM

Valero Texas Open: Will Seonghyeon Kim finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Seonghyeon Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1874

YES ask: 0.2000
NO ask: 0.9000
Last: 0.2300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Seonghyeon Kim finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:20:51Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 necessarily means finishing top 20 (top 10 is a subset of top 20). The reverse is not true — finishing top 20 does not mean finishing top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.2000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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