Pair #5013

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-BHOS

Valero Texas Open: Will Beau Hossler finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Beau Hossler
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 816

YES ask: 0.1000
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.4000

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Rules

If Beau Hossler finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-BHOS

Valero Texas Open: Will Beau Hossler finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Beau Hossler
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 19656

YES ask: 0.2700
NO ask: 0.7700
Last: 0.2500

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Beau Hossler finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:20:31Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 necessarily means finishing top 20. The reverse does not hold — top 20 could be outside top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.2700
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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