Pair #5002

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-VATO26-THOG

Will Tom Hoge win the Valero Texas Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Tom Hoge
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 84760

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Tom Hoge wins the Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-THOG

Valero Texas Open: Will Tom Hoge make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Tom Hoge
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 4518

YES ask: 0.9900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.4800

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Tom Hoge has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:20:14Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament requires playing all four rounds, so Tom Hoge must have made the cut.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.9900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue