Pair #50

Antecedent (implies)

KXATPMATCH-26MAR16JODDHA-DHA

Will Manas Dhamne win the Jodar vs Dhamne : Qualification Round 1 match?

Series: KXATPMATCH
Entity: Manas Dhamne
Expiration: 2026-03-16T18:00:00Z
Volume: 27638

YES ask: 0.1200
NO ask: 0.8900
Last: 0.1200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Manas Dhamne wins the Jodar vs Dhamne professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Miami Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (implied)

KXATPSETWINNER-26MAR16JODDHA-1-DHA

Will Manas Dhamne win set 1 in the Rafael Jodar vs Manas Dhamne match

Series: KXATPSETWINNER
Entity: Manas Dhamne
Expiration: 2026-03-16T18:00:00Z
Volume: 838

YES ask: 0.1700
NO ask: 0.8500
Last: 0.1700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Manas Dhamne wins set 1 in the Rafael Jodar vs Manas Dhamne professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Miami Qualification Round 1, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-16T22:51:29Z

Reasoning: Winning the match does not require winning set 1, and winning set 1 does not guarantee winning the match. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0600
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Decision: rejected
Reviewed at: 2026-03-17T10:17:46Z

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