Pair #4998

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-CHOF

Valero Texas Open: Will Charley Hoffman make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Charley Hoffman
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 976

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Charley Hoffman has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-VATO26-CHOF

Will Charley Hoffman lead at the end of Round 1 in the Valero Texas Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Charley Hoffman
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 8455

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Charley Hoffman is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:20:14Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut — a player can lead R1 and still miss the cut. And making the cut does not require leading R1.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue