Pair #4997

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-CHOF

Valero Texas Open: Will Charley Hoffman finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Charley Hoffman
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2835

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Charley Hoffman finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-CHOF

Valero Texas Open: Will Charley Hoffman make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Charley Hoffman
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 976

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Charley Hoffman has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:20:14Z

Reasoning: If Charley Hoffman finishes top 10, he must have made the cut to play all four rounds. A player cannot finish top 10 without having made the cut.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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