Pair #4983

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-RHOE

Valero Texas Open: Will Rico Hoey finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Rico Hoey
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 650

YES ask: 0.1000
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Rico Hoey finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-RHOE

Valero Texas Open: Will Rico Hoey finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Rico Hoey
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 16399

YES ask: 0.0800
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1000

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Rico Hoey finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:19:38Z

Reasoning: A top 10 finish necessarily implies a top 20 finish. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0800
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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