Pair #4970

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-EGRI

Valero Texas Open: Will Emiliano Grillo finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Emiliano Grillo
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 887

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Emiliano Grillo finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-EGRI

Valero Texas Open: Will Emiliano Grillo finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Emiliano Grillo
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1062

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Emiliano Grillo finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:19:21Z

Reasoning: A top 10 finish necessarily means a top 20 finish (top 10 is a subset of top 20). The reverse does not hold — top 20 does not imply top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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