Pair #4966

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-LGLO

Valero Texas Open: Will Lucas Glover make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Lucas Glover
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 833

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.3600

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Lucas Glover has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-VATO26-LGLO

Will Lucas Glover lead at the end of Round 1 in the Valero Texas Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Lucas Glover
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 17559

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Lucas Glover is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:19:21Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut (a player could collapse in Round 2), and making the cut does not require leading after Round 1. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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