Pair #4965

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-LGLO

Valero Texas Open: Will Lucas Glover finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Lucas Glover
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2206

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Lucas Glover finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-LGLO

Valero Texas Open: Will Lucas Glover make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Lucas Glover
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 833

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.3600

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Lucas Glover has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:19:21Z

Reasoning: A top 20 finish requires playing all four rounds, which means making the cut. The reverse does not hold — making the cut does not imply a top 20 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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