Pair #4950

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-ADUM

Valero Texas Open: Will Adrien Dumont De Chassart finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Adrien Dumont De Chassart
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1894

YES ask: 0.0700
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.2000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Adrien Dumont De Chassart finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-ADUM

Valero Texas Open: Will Adrien Dumont De Chassart finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Adrien Dumont De Chassart
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 9374

YES ask: 0.1300
NO ask: 0.9000
Last: 0.2200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Adrien Dumont De Chassart finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:19:02Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 necessarily means finishing top 20 (top 10 is a subset of top 20). The reverse does not hold — top 20 does not imply top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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