Pair #4947

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-VATO26-ADUM

Will Adrien Dumont De Chassart win the Valero Texas Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Adrien Dumont De Chassart
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 81420

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Adrien Dumont De Chassart wins the Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-ADUM

Valero Texas Open: Will Adrien Dumont De Chassart finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Adrien Dumont De Chassart
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 9374

YES ask: 0.1300
NO ask: 0.9000
Last: 0.2200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Adrien Dumont De Chassart finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:18:45Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament means finishing 1st, which is necessarily inside the top 20. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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