Pair #4923

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXATPMATCH-26MAR29KOPMED-MED

Will Hamad Medjedovic win the Kopriva vs Medjedovic : Round Of 32 match?

Series: KXATPMATCH
Entity: Hamad Medjedovic
Expiration: 2026-03-29T12:00:00Z
Volume: 62326

YES ask: 0.6100
NO ask: 0.4100
Last: 0.5900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Hamad Medjedovic wins the Kopriva vs Medjedovic professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Marrakech Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXATPSETWINNER-26MAR29KOPMED-1-MED

Will Hamad Medjedovic win set 1 in the Vit Kopriva vs Hamad Medjedovic match

Series: KXATPSETWINNER
Entity: Hamad Medjedovic
Expiration: 2026-03-29T12:00:00Z
Volume: 391

YES ask: 0.6000
NO ask: 0.4400
Last: 0.5600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Hamad Medjedovic wins set 1 in the Vit Kopriva vs Hamad Medjedovic professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Marrakech Round Of 32, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:18:09Z

Reasoning: Winning the match does not require winning set 1 — a player can lose set 1 and win sets 2 and 3. And winning set 1 does not guarantee winning the match. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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