Pair #4922

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-GWOO

Will Gary Woodland win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Gary Woodland
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 5094854

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules If Gary Woodland wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMASTERS-26-GWOO

Gary Woodland to compete in The Masters in 2026?

Series: KXPGAMASTERS
Entity: Gary Woodland
Expiration: 2026-04-13T14:00:00Z
Volume: 1283

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Gary Woodland competes in The Masters in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:18:09Z

Reasoning: Winning The Masters requires competing in it, so if Woodland wins The Masters he must have competed. However, competing does not imply winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $2.0000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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