Pair #4917

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMASTERS-26-BHOR

Billy Horschel to compete in The Masters in 2026?

Series: KXPGAMASTERS
Entity: Billy Horschel
Expiration: 2026-04-13T14:00:00Z
Volume: 14714

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

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Rules

If Billy Horschel competes in The Masters in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-BHOR

Valero Texas Open: Will Billy Horschel finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Billy Horschel
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3234

YES ask: 0.3300
NO ask: 0.7400
Last: 0.2800

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Billy Horschel finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:18:09Z

Reasoning: Competing in The Masters does not require finishing top 20 at the Valero Texas Open, and finishing top 20 at the Valero Texas Open does not guarantee a Masters invitation. These are separate events with no strict logical dependency.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.3300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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