Pair #4900

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-VATO26-RHIS

Valero Texas Open: Will Ryo Hisatsune finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Ryo Hisatsune
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 22335

YES ask: 0.5700
NO ask: 0.4500
Last: 0.5700

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Rules

If Ryo Hisatsune finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-RHIS

Valero Texas Open: Will Ryo Hisatsune finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Ryo Hisatsune
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 32540

YES ask: 0.8800
NO ask: 0.1600
Last: 0.8900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Ryo Hisatsune finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:17:03Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 5 necessarily means finishing top 20. However, finishing top 20 does not necessarily mean finishing top 5.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.3300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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