Pair #4897

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-RHIS

Valero Texas Open: Will Ryo Hisatsune finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Ryo Hisatsune
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 13563

YES ask: 0.7500
NO ask: 0.6000
Last: 0.7500

View on Kalshi

Rules If Ryo Hisatsune finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-RHIS

Valero Texas Open: Will Ryo Hisatsune finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Ryo Hisatsune
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 32540

YES ask: 0.8800
NO ask: 0.1600
Last: 0.8900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Ryo Hisatsune finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:17:03Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 necessarily means finishing top 20. However, finishing top 20 does not necessarily mean finishing top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.4800
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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