Pair #4895

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-VATO26-RHIS

Will Ryo Hisatsune win the Valero Texas Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Ryo Hisatsune
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1474307

YES ask: 0.0700
NO ask: 0.9500
Last: 0.0700

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Ryo Hisatsune wins the Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-RHIS

Valero Texas Open: Will Ryo Hisatsune make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Ryo Hisatsune
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 1578

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Ryo Hisatsune has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:17:03Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament requires completing all rounds, which means making the cut. The reverse does not hold — making the cut does not mean winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.9500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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