Pair #4891

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMASTERS-26-RHIS

Ryo Hisatsune to compete in The Masters in 2026?

Series: KXPGAMASTERS
Entity: Ryo Hisatsune
Expiration: 2026-04-13T14:00:00Z
Volume: 23558

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Ryo Hisatsune competes in The Masters in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP5-VATO26-RHIS

Valero Texas Open: Will Ryo Hisatsune finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Ryo Hisatsune
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 22335

YES ask: 0.5700
NO ask: 0.4500
Last: 0.5700

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Ryo Hisatsune finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:17:03Z

Reasoning: Competing in The Masters can result from many qualification paths, not necessarily a top-5 at the Valero Texas Open. And finishing top 5 at the Valero Texas Open does not guarantee a Masters invitation. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.5700
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue