Pair #4890

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-RHIS

Valero Texas Open: Will Ryo Hisatsune make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Ryo Hisatsune
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 1578

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Ryo Hisatsune has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMASTERS-26-RHIS

Ryo Hisatsune to compete in The Masters in 2026?

Series: KXPGAMASTERS
Entity: Ryo Hisatsune
Expiration: 2026-04-13T14:00:00Z
Volume: 23558

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Ryo Hisatsune competes in The Masters in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:17:03Z

Reasoning: There are multiple ways to qualify for The Masters beyond making the cut at the Valero Texas Open, and making the cut at the Valero Texas Open does not guarantee a Masters invitation. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.0200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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