Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGATOUR-VATO26-RFOW
Will Rickie Fowler win the Valero Texas Open?
Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Rickie Fowler
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 287851
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Rickie Fowler wins the Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGATOP20-VATO26-RFOW
Valero Texas Open: Will Rickie Fowler finish top 20?
Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Rickie Fowler
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 4908
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Rickie Fowler finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:16:17Z
Reasoning: If Rickie Fowler wins the Valero Texas Open, he necessarily finishes in the top 1, which is within the top 20. A win logically necessitates a top-20 finish. The reverse does not hold: a top-20 finish does not mean he won.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.0100
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A