Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGAMASTERS-26-RFOW
Rickie Fowler to compete in The Masters in 2026?
Series: KXPGAMASTERS
Entity: Rickie Fowler
Expiration: 2026-04-13T14:00:00Z
Volume: 58543
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Rickie Fowler competes in The Masters in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGATOP20-VATO26-RFOW
Valero Texas Open: Will Rickie Fowler finish top 20?
Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Rickie Fowler
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 4908
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Rickie Fowler finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:16:17Z
Reasoning: Competing in The Masters does not require finishing top 20 at the Valero Texas Open, and finishing top 20 at the Valero does not guarantee a Masters invitation. These are logically independent events.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.0100
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A