Pair #4883

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-VATO26-RFOW

Will Rickie Fowler win the Valero Texas Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Rickie Fowler
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 287851

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

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Rules

If Rickie Fowler wins the Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMASTERS-26-RFOW

Rickie Fowler to compete in The Masters in 2026?

Series: KXPGAMASTERS
Entity: Rickie Fowler
Expiration: 2026-04-13T14:00:00Z
Volume: 58543

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Rickie Fowler competes in The Masters in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: medium
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:16:17Z

Reasoning: Winning the Valero Texas Open (the week before The Masters) traditionally grants an invitation to The Masters, so a win would likely necessitate Masters participation. However, this depends on Masters invitation rules and Fowler's willingness to accept — it's not an absolute logical certainty, but it's very strongly implied by the rules of golf's qualifying system. The reverse does not hold: Fowler could qualify for The Masters via other means without winning the Valero.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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