Pair #4863

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXATPMATCH-26APR01SHEZHA-SHE

Will Ben Shelton win the Shelton vs Zhang : Round Of 16 match?

Series: KXATPMATCH
Entity: Ben Shelton
Expiration: 2026-04-01T20:00:00Z
Volume: 16700

YES ask: 0.7300
NO ask: 0.2800
Last: 0.7300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Ben Shelton wins the Shelton vs Zhang professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Houston Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXFOMEN-26-SHE

Will Ben Shelton win the French Open?

Series: KXFOMEN
Entity: Ben Shelton
Expiration: 2026-06-10T17:00:00Z
Volume: 389880

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Ben Shelton wins the 2026 Men's French Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:15:40Z

Reasoning: Winning the French Open does not require winning a Round of 16 match at the Houston ATP event, and winning that Houston R16 match does not imply winning the French Open. These are separate tournaments with no logical dependency.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.2900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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