Pair #4859

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-BHAR

Valero Texas Open: Will Brian Harman make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Brian Harman
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 11951

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Brian Harman has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-VATO26-BHAR

Will Brian Harman lead at the end of Round 1 in the Valero Texas Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Brian Harman
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 138459

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Brian Harman is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:15:40Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut (a poor Round 2 could result in missing the cut), and making the cut does not require leading after Round 1. Neither implies the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.0200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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