Pair #4858

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1TOP10-VATO26-BHAR

Valero Texas Open: Will Brian Harman finish top 10 in Round 1?

Series: KXPGAR1TOP10
Entity: Brian Harman
Expiration: 2026-04-02T22:00:00Z
Volume: 1310

YES ask: 0.9900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Brian Harman finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP5-VATO26-BHAR

Valero Texas Open: Will Brian Harman finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Brian Harman
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1344

YES ask: 0.0500
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Brian Harman finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:15:40Z

Reasoning: A top 10 Round 1 does not necessitate a top 5 overall finish, and a top 5 overall finish does not require a top 10 Round 1 performance. Neither implies the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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