Pair #4855

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-VATO26-BHAR

Valero Texas Open: Will Brian Harman finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Brian Harman
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1344

YES ask: 0.0500
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0800

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Brian Harman finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-BHAR

Valero Texas Open: Will Brian Harman finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Brian Harman
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 15144

YES ask: 0.1100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Brian Harman finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-01T08:15:40Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 5 necessarily means finishing top 10 (top 5 is a subset of top 10). The reverse does not hold — finishing top 10 does not guarantee top 5.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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